[37] The work, Treatise on Money, was published in 1930 in two volumes. [175] Helping to set up the Bretton Woods system, he worked to institute an international monetary system that would be beneficial for the world economy. Originally trained in mathematics, he built on and greatly refined earlier work on the causes of business cycles. While the need for stimulus measures was broadly accepted among policy makers, there had been much debate over how to fund the spending. [164], In 1931 Keynes had the following to say on Leninism:[174]. The economist Harry Johnson wrote that the optimism imparted by Keynes's early life is a key to understanding his later thinking. [170] Joel Tillinghast of Fidelity Investments describes Keynes as an early practitioner of value investing, a school of thought formalized in the U.S. by Benjamin Graham and David Dodd at Columbia Business School during the 1920s and '30s,[168] but Keynes is believed to have developed his ideas independently. Etter krigens slutt ledet Keynes de britiske finansielle forhandlinger i USA. In the "red 1930s", many young economists favoured Marxist views, even in Cambridge,[24] and while Keynes was engaging principally with the right to try to persuade them of the merits of more progressive policy, the most vociferous criticism against him came from the left, who saw him as a supporter of capitalism. Lydia became pregnant in 1927 but miscarried. His most important work, The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, advocated a remedy for recession based on a government-sponsored policy of full employment. [169], Keynes built up a substantial collection of fine art, including works by Paul Cézanne, Edgar Degas, Amedeo Modigliani, Georges Braque, Pablo Picasso, and Georges Seurat (some of which can now be seen at the Fitzwilliam Museum). [145] The artist Duncan Grant, whom he met in 1908, was one of Keynes's great loves. International speculation was severely restricted by the capital controls in place after Bretton Woods. John Maynard Keynes, Baron Keynes ([ˈkʰeɪnz] IPA, 5. června 1883, Cambridge – 21. dubna 1946, Tilton, Firle, East Sussex) byl anglický ekonom, profesor na univerzitě v Cambridge a guvernér anglické centrální banky (Bank of England).. Byl zakladatelem keynesiánství, což je do jisté míry protipól klasické a neoklasické ekonomie.Oproti těmto teoriím dospěl mj. He was an outspoken campaigner for reform of the laws against homosexuality. [24][46] Keynes began to recover in 1939, but for the rest of his life his professional energies were directed largely towards the practical side of economics: the problems of ensuring optimum allocation of resources for the war efforts, post-war negotiations with America, and the new international financial order that was presented at the Bretton Woods Conference. US stimulus kicks up a storm", "EconoMonitor " The Mini Depression and the Maximum-Strength Remedy", "Chasing Stiglitz: Obama's economic team is missing the one guy who's been right all along", "Keynes and International Economic and Political Relations", "Darling invokes Keynes as he eases spending rules to fight recession", "Spend, spend, spend: Alistair Darling adopts John Maynard Keynes doctrine", "China Announces Massive Stimulus Package", "Reform the International Monetary System", "IMF says world is pulling out of recession", "Recession Loosens Grip But Weak Recovery Ahead", "Keynes Arouses Fed as ECB Looks for Monetary Exit", "What do we know about the effects of fiscal policy? On the pressing issue of the time, whether deficit spending could lift a country from depression, Keynes replied to Hayek's criticism[114] in the following way: I should... conclude rather differently. When it comes to a showdown, scarce four weeks have passed before they remember that they are pacifists and write defeatist letters to your columns, leaving the defence of freedom and civilisation to Colonel Blimp and the Old School Tie, for whom Three Cheers.[42]. [48], Keynes was interested in literature in general and drama in particular and supported the Cambridge Arts Theatre financially, which allowed the institution to become one of the major British stages outside London.[110]. "[153], In 1921, Keynes wrote that he had fallen "very much in love" with Lydia Lopokova, a well-known Russian ballerina and one of the stars of Sergei Diaghilev's Ballets Russes. Big Money Thinks Small: Biases, Blind Spots and Smarter Investing. [144], Attitudes in the Bloomsbury Group, in which Keynes was avidly involved, were relaxed about homosexuality. Allegations that he was racist or had totalitarian beliefs have been rejected by Robert Skidelsky and other biographers. By the end of December 2008, the Financial Times reported that "the sudden resurgence of Keynesian policy is a stunning reversal of the orthodoxy of the past several decades. His view, supported by many economists and commentators at the time, was that creditor nations may be just as responsible as debtor nations for disequilibrium in exchanges and that both should be under an obligation to bring trade back into a state of balance. [88], A series of major bailouts were pursued during the financial crisis, starting on 7 September with the announcement that the U.S. Government was to nationalise the two government-sponsored enterprises which oversaw most of the U.S. subprime mortgage market – Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. John Maynard Keynes offers a timely reconsideration of the work of the revered economics icon. The process engages all the hidden forces of economic law on the side of destruction, and does it in a manner which not one man in a million is able to diagnose. Among others, Hyman Minsky and Post-Keynesian economists have argued that as result, Keynes's ideas were diluted by those keen to compromise with classical economists or to render his concepts with mathematical models like the IS–LM model (which, they argue, distort Keynes's ideas). One of the most influential economists of the 20th century, his ideas are the basis for the school of thought known as Keynesian economics, and its various offshoots. There would be no incentives for states to avoid a large trade surplus; instead, the burden for correcting a trade imbalance would continue to fall only on the deficit countries, which Keynes had argued were least able to address the problem without inflicting economic hardship on their populations. Han var fra 1912 redaktør for Economical Journal. [48], Throughout his life, Keynes worked energetically for the benefit both of the public and his friends; even when his health was poor, he laboured to sort out the finances of his old college. Keynes's interest in classical opera and dance led him to support the Royal Opera House at Covent Garden and the Ballet Company at Sadler's Wells. [39] Apart from Great Britain, Keynes's attention was primarily focused on the United States. [24] Writing in The American Prospect, Robert Kuttner argued it was not so much excessive Keynesian activism that caused the economic problems of the 1970s but the breakdown of the Bretton Woods system of capital controls, which allowed capital flight from regulated economies into unregulated economies in a fashion similar to Gresham's law phenomenon (where weak currencies undermine strong currencies). "J.M. Other prominent economic commentators who have argued for Keynesian government intervention to mitigate the financial crisis include George Akerlof,[83] J. Bradford DeLong,[84] Although many economists, such as George Akerlof, Paul Krugman, Robert Shiller, and Joseph Stiglitz, supported Keynesian stimulus, others did not believe higher government spending would help the United States economy recover from the Great Recession. Keynes's magnum opus, The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money was published in 1936. [135], Influenced by Keynes, economics texts in the immediate post-war period put a significant emphasis on balance in trade. Almost all capitalist governments had done so by the end of the two decades following Keynes's death in 1946. Moderate planning will be safe enough if those carrying it out are rightly oriented in their minds and hearts to the moral issue. John Maynard Keynes begins at King’s College, Cambridge as an undergraduate. Bankers had been pushing for the suspension of specie payments – the convertibility of banknotes into gold – but with Keynes's help the Chancellor of the Exchequer (then Lloyd George) was persuaded that this would be a bad idea, as it would hurt the future reputation of the city if payments were suspended before it was necessary. Keynes advocated the use of fiscal and monetary policies to mitigate the adverse effects of economic recessions and depressions. Share with your friends. I sense in him something massive and sphinx like, and yet also a hint of wings. However, in more recent years, since the end of the Bretton Woods system in 1971, with the increasing influence of Monetarist schools of thought in the 1980s, and particularly in the face of large sustained trade imbalances, these concerns – and particularly concerns about the destabilising effects of large trade surpluses – have largely disappeared from mainstream economics discourse[137] and Keynes' insights have slipped from view. [149], Keynes's friends in the Bloomsbury Group were initially surprised when, in his later years, he began pursuing affairs with women,[150] demonstrating himself to be bisexual. However, Keynes was still able to influence government policy making through his network of contacts, his published works and by serving on government committees; this included attending high-level policy meetings as a consultant. Keynes believed the classical theory was a "special case" that applied only to the particular conditions present in the 19th century, his theory being the general one. John Maynard Keynes, 1st Baron Keynes, CB, FBA (/ˈkeɪnz/ KAYNZ; 5 June 1883 - 21 April 1946), was an English economist whose ideas fundamentally changed the theory and practice of modern macroeconomics and the economic policies of governments. John Maynard Keynes (5. juuni 1883 – 21. aprill 1946) oli silmapaistev Briti majandusteadlane, kelle ideed ja teooriad muutsid makroökonoomika fundamentaalseid arusaamu ning valitsuste majanduspoliitikat.Keynes lõi oma tööde käigus uusi ja parandas vanu arusaamu äriringlusest ning on laialdaselt peetud 20. sajandi üheks mõjukaimaks majandusteadlaseks ja tänapäevase … Hans selvbiografiske essays, Two Memoirs, utkom 1949. Robert Reich,[85] Its members included the Austrian School economist Ludwig von Mises along with the then young Milton Friedman. "[164] Marxism "was founded upon nothing better than a misunderstanding of Ricardo", and, given time, he (Keynes) "would deal thoroughly with the Marxists" and other economists to solve the economic problems their theories "threaten to cause". Much of the post-crisis discussion reflected Keynes's advocacy of international coordination of fiscal or monetary stimulus, and of international economic institutions such as the IMF and the World Bank, which many had argued should be reformed as a "new Bretton Woods", and should have been even before the crises broke out. For economists such as Hyman Minsky, Keynes's limited use of mathematics was partly the result of his scepticism about whether phenomena as inherently uncertain as economic activity could ever be adequately captured by mathematical models. Lloyd George did, however, win some loyalty from Keynes with his actions at the Paris conference by intervening against the French to ensure the dispatch of much-needed food supplies to German civilians. [24] He founded the Political Economy Club, a weekly discussion group. "American 'Reparations' to Germany, 1919–33. [157] The union was happy, with biographer Peter Clarke writing that the marriage gave Keynes "a new focus, a new emotional stability and a sheer delight of which he never wearied". [116], While Milton Friedman described The General Theory as "a great book", he argues that its implicit separation of nominal from real magnitudes is neither possible nor desirable. "[58], From the end of the Great Depression to the mid-1970s, Keynes provided the main inspiration for economic policymakers in Europe, America and much of the rest of the world. While he did not formally re-join the civil service in 1914, Keynes traveled to London at the government's request a few days before hostilities started. In December 2008, Paul Krugman released his book The Return of Depression Economics and the Crisis of 2008, arguing that economic conditions similar to those that existed during the earlier part of the 20th century had returned, making Keynesian policy prescriptions more relevant than ever. There is something mythic and fabulous about him. John Maynard Keynes (phát âm /ˈkeɪnz/ 5 tháng 6 1883 – 21 tháng 4 1946) là một nhà kinh tế học người Anh. As a leader of the British delegation, Keynes participated in the design of the international economic institutions established after the end of World War II but was overruled by the American delegation on several aspects. John Maynard Keynes returned to Cambridge after resigning from his governmental duties and resumed teaching. "[165], Keynes was ultimately a successful investor, building up a private fortune. [32] During the 1920s Keynes's pro stimulus views had only limited effect on policy makers and mainstream academic opinion – according to Hyman Minsky one reason was that at this time his theoretical justification was "muddled". Keynes", "Dividends from Schumpeter's Noble Failure", "The Immoral Moral Scientist. Men økonomisk teori er ikke forfatterens viktigste anliggende i denne boka. John Maynard Keynes, Baron Keynes ke-1, CB, FBA (/ ˈ k eɪ n z / KEYNZ; 5 Juni 1883 – 21 April 1946), adalah ekonom Inggris yang gagasannya mengubah teori dan praktik ekonomi makro serta kebijakan ekonomi dunia. [39], Keynesian-like policies were adopted by Sweden and Germany, but Sweden was seen as too small to command much attention, and Keynes was deliberately silent about the successful efforts of Germany as he was dismayed by its imperialist ambitions and its treatment of Jews. [93] In 1946, Keynes suffered a series of heart attacks, which ultimately proved fatal. TRANSCEND MEMBERS, 3 Aug 2020 . The three principal players at Versailles were Britain's Lloyd George, France's Clemenceau and America's President Wilson. [56], Just before his death in 1946, Keynes told Henry Clay, a professor of social economics and advisor to the Bank of England,[57] of his hopes that Adam Smith's "invisible hand" could help Britain out of the economic hole it was in: "I find myself more and more relying for a solution of our problems on the invisible hand which I tried to eject from economic thinking twenty years ago. [71] [89][90] Similar policies have been adopted by other governments worldwide. [32] The work was a notable contribution to the philosophical and mathematical underpinnings of probability theory, championing the important view that probabilities were no more or less than truth values intermediate between simple truth and falsity. Keynes was elected to the University Pitt Club[18] and was an active member of the semi-secretive Cambridge Apostles society, a debating club largely reserved for the brightest students. To Keynes's dismay, Lloyd George and Clemenceau were able to pressure Wilson to agree to include pensions in the reparations bill. In the early 1970s stagflation appeared in both the US and Britain just as Friedman had predicted, with economic conditions deteriorating further after the 1973 oil crisis. Under andre verdenskrig ble Keynes medlem av direksjonen for Bank of England, og i 1942 adlet under navnet Lord Keynes of Tilton. In addition to his academic work, the 1920s saw Keynes active as a journalist selling his work internationally and working in London as a financial consultant. [125] He had indeed expressed a preference for inflation over deflation, saying that if one has to choose between the two evils, it is "better to disappoint the rentier" than to inflict pain on working class families. He succeeded in obtaining preferential terms from the United States for new and outstanding debts to facilitate the rebuilding of the British economy. [32], Keynes had completed his A Treatise on Probability before the war but published it in 1921. Some leaders and institutions, such as Angela Merkel[102] [49] In June 1942, Keynes was rewarded for his service with a hereditary peerage in the King's Birthday Honours. 34 (25 August 1990), p. 1896. Keynes had won the affections of Arthur Hobhouse,[146] and as with Grant, fell out with a jealous Strachey for it. ", "Lord Keynes Dies of Heart Attack. Keynes had no children; his widow, Lydia Lopokova, died in 1981. Han angrep den deflasjonspolitikken som ble ført i 1920-årene, og fremla i skriftet A Tract on Monetary Reform (1923) et program om stabile priser og varierende valutakurser. Keynes ble utnevnt til æresdoktor ved Universitetet i Oslo 1938. For Schumpeter "Practical Keynesianism is a seedling which cannot be transplanted into foreign soil: it dies there and becomes poisonous as it dies. [105] However, there is a growing academic literature that shows that fiscal expansion helps an economy grow in the near term, and that certain types of fiscal stimulus are particularly effective. Among his responsibilities were the design of terms of credit between Britain and its continental allies during the war and the acquisition of scarce currencies. He was also appointed Officer of the Belgian Order of Leopold.[30]. [110][140] "What a marriage of beauty and brains, the fair Lopokova and John Maynard Keynes" was said at the time. [61] After the war, Winston Churchill attempted to check the rise of Keynesian policy-making in the United Kingdom and used rhetoric critical of the mixed economy in his 1945 election campaign. John Maynard Keynes was born on June 5, 1883 in Cambridge, Cambridgeshire, England. The Keynes plan, concerning an international clearing-union, argued for a radical system for the management of currencies. Keynes responded by writing The Economic Consequences of Mr. Churchill and continued to argue against the gold standard until Britain finally abandoned it in 1931.[32]. Although Zhou's ideas had not been broadly accepted, leaders meeting in April at the 2009 G-20 London summit agreed to allow $250 billion of special drawing rights to be created by the IMF, to be distributed globally. [69], Keynesian principles fared increasingly poorly on the practical side of economics – by 1979 they had been displaced by monetarism as the primary influence on Anglo-American economic policy. Dimand, Robert W. and Harald Hagemann, eds. It is hard for an educated, decent, intelligent son of Western Europe to find his ideals here, unless he has first suffered some strange and horrid process of conversion which has changed all his values. His assets were nearly wiped out following the Wall Street Crash of 1929, which he did not foresee, but he soon recouped. John Maynard Keynes, 1. baron Keynes iz Tiltona, CB FBA, angleški ekonomist, * 5. junij 1883, † 21. april 1946.. Keynes je bil eden najpomembnejših britanskih ekonomistov in političnih teoretikov moderne dobe, ki je s svojimi idejami temeljito spremenil teorijo in prakso makroekonomije in ekonomske politike vlad. He argued that the index understated the effects of changes in the costs of services and labor. Han var ansatt i det britiske finansministerium 1915–1919 og deltok som dets representant ved fredskonferansen i Paris 1919. John Maynard Keynes (født 5. juni 1883, død 21. april 1946) var en engelsk økonom.Han regnes normalt som grundlæggeren af moderne makroøkonomi med sit berømte værk The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money fra 1936.. Keynes hævdede, at økonomien kan havne i en varig tilstand af uligevægt med lav produktion og høj ledighed. "Keynes" redirects here. "[54][55], After the war, Keynes continued to represent the United Kingdom in international negotiations despite his deteriorating health. At such moments, I often find myself thinking that Keynes must be one of the most remarkable men that have ever lived – the quick logic, the birdlike swoop of intuition, the vivid fancy, the wide vision, above all the incomparable sense of the fitness of words, all combine to make something several degrees beyond the limit of ordinary human achievement. Keynes's main interest had been in trying to prevent Germany's compensation payments being set so high it would traumatize innocent German people, damage the nation's ability to pay and sharply limit her ability to buy exports from other countries – thus hurting not just Germany's economy but that of the wider world. 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